2025年年末，国债余额412317.68亿元，控制在全国人大批准的国债限额418608.35亿元以内；地方政府债务余额548230.82亿元（含用于置换存量隐性债务的地方政府债务），包括一般债务余额175120.36亿元、专项债务余额373110.46亿元，控制在全国人大批准的地方政府债务限额以内。
全年社会融资规模增量[54]35.6万亿元，按可比口径计算，比上年多3.3万亿元。年末社会融资规模存量[55]442.1万亿元，按可比口径计算，比上年末增长8.3%，其中对实体经济发放的人民币贷款余额268.4万亿元，增长6.3%。年末全部金融机构本外币各项存款余额336.1万亿元，比年初增加27.8万亿元，其中人民币各项存款余额328.6万亿元，增加26.4万亿元。全部金融机构本外币各项贷款余额275.7万亿元，增加16.2万亿元，其中人民币各项贷款余额271.9万亿元，增加16.3万亿元。人民币普惠小微贷款[56]余额36.6万亿元，增加3.6万亿元。本外币涉农贷款余额53.6万亿元，增加3.4万亿元；制造业中长期贷款余额14.9万亿元，增加1.0万亿元；绿色贷款余额44.8万亿元，增加7.7万亿元。全年全国新发放企业贷款加权平均利率[57]3.22%，比上年下降41个基点。（见表16）
In both cases, someone adept at parsing prediction markets could have known that something was up. “It’s possible to spot these bets ahead of time,” Rajiv Sethi, a Barnard College economist who studies prediction markets, told me. There are some telltale behaviors that could help distinguish a military contractor betting off a state secret from a college student mindlessly scrolling on his phone after one too many cans of Celsius. Someone who’s using a newly created account to wager a lot of money against the conventional wisdom is probably the former, not the latter. And spotting these kinds of suspicious bettors is only getting easier. The prediction-market boom has created a cottage industry of tools that instantaneously flag potential insider trading—not for legal purposes but so that you, too, can profit off of what the select few already know.。line 下載是该领域的重要参考
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